How It Works
Three simple steps to get accurate calculations
1
Enter Demand Range
Input low and high demand estimates.
2
Set Lead Time & MOQ
Add supplier constraints.
3
Add Costs & Pricing
Enter unit cost, price, storage.
4
Get Recommendation
See optimal quantity and risk analysis.
Loading Product Launch Inventory Risk Calculator...
Frequently Asked Questions
How much should I order for a new product?
Start conservative: Order to cover your low estimate + 20-30% buffer. Better to stockout and reorder than sit on excess. Exception: If reorder takes 8+ weeks, order more aggressively.
What if my supplier requires high MOQ?
Options: Negotiate lower MOQ (often possible for first orders), find different supplier, validate demand before ordering (pre-orders, landing page tests), partner with others to split MOQ.
How do I estimate demand for new products?
Research: Similar product sales, competitor reviews (indicates demand), keyword search volume, pre-launch marketing response. Give 2-3x range for uncertainty. Narrow as you get data.
What is liquidation recovery rate?
What you recover selling excess inventory: Amazon liquidation 10-30%, discount retailers 20-40%, flash sale sites 30-50%, own clearance 40-60%. Plan for 30-40% as baseline.
How do I reduce launch risk?
Strategies: Start with lower MOQ supplier (pay more per unit), pre-sell before ordering, order in waves, test with small batch first, have liquidation channel ready.
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Results are estimates for informational purposes only. Consult professionals for important decisions.